Nintendo Switch 2 Is Projected to Sell Between 15 and 17 Million Units Next Year, 80 Million Units by 2028, With Little Competition From Sony and Microsoft
Nintendo Switch 2 Is Projected to Sell Between 15 and 17 Million Units Next Year, 80 Million Units by 2028, With Little Competition From Sony and Microsoft
by Arthur_Morgan44469
47 Comments
kikikiju
I honestly fear we will have another WiiU situation on our hands. The switch sold so well, and if the new switch isn’t a big enough upgrade, people won’t buy it since they already have a switch.
Snipedzoi
nah pokemon will clutch this one. just dont launch any new games on the switch too and theres an immediate reason to upgrade
ZuperLucaZ
If the leaks are true, I worry it’s not enough of an upgrade to warrant a purchase from most people. Sure, hardcore players will buy it, but most people aren’t hardcore gamers.
KingBroly
My assumption is their forecasters know little about the global economy and are in constant ‘extend and pretend’ mode.
Tebeku
Well, I’m getting one.
Battlemaster123
If they push it with pokemon and Metroid 4 I think they’ll easily hit those numbers. Especially since they took an extra year to work on Pokemon
Unfair-Banana-1505
I wouldn’t be surprised if it does sony are releasing games slowly and they haven’t been super good either for Xbox well I don’t even need to explain that
justcallmeryanok
Let them announce the damn thing first
ExoticToaster
Launch with a new 3D Mario possibly? Odyssey will be 8 years old at that point
TwitzyMIXX
So, it’s 100% will be released next year?
reminiscingLemon
That’s a lot of faith in the new Pokémon, but also Pokémon has never needed a lot of faith from it’s user base judging on the state of a lot of it’s switch titles.
ilovelemonsquares
I’ve always been curious: can anyone in finance or gaming industries explain how they make projections like units the company would sell?
Notoriously_So
**New Zelda game reusing the old BotW map for a third time should do the trick.** 👏
Wrong_Revolution_679
Regardless if this is true or not it’s going to be a very big year for Nintendo in 2025, Should be exciting
MrVernonDursley
I’m hopeful for the Switch Successor and confident that Nintendo has learnt the right lessons, but 80 million units by 2028 seems _very_ optimistic.
Assuming 2028 is it’s 4th year on market, that would put it exactly on pace with the Switch in terms of 4th year cumulative sales, but Nintendo’s sequel consoles have _never_ sold as well as the originals (see: The SNES, GBA, 3DS, _Wii U_), and the Switch had an unexpected surge in 2020 _for some reason_.
I don’t necessarily think that the Switch was lightning in a bottle, but it’s going to be very difficult to create those circumstances again.
FieldOfFox
> My OnlyFans is projected to sell between 1 and 3 million subscriptions next year
This is easy.
80cartoonyall
Honestly it’s going to really boil down to the games that are released with it. And the quality of the upgrades that it comes with.
Yokoblue
Just give me Mario kart 9 and I’m in.
J_Shepz
Switch still sells pretty well. Nintendo doesn’t need to change a whole lot for S2. The main complaints are JoyCon drift, which they might have fixed if the rumours about Hall Effect sticks, ergonomics which looks like they’ve improved that a little and a bit more compute power so things don’t feel so sluggish, which is definitely happening. Throw in the Nintendo First Party titles, S2 will sell very well. Not as well as S1, but that will be near impossible to beat in todays climate
StrictlyFT
Every Pokemon game to release on the Switch has cleared 10 million, even the more controversial BDSP. So 15-17 million is a pretty reasonable estimate.
Rolekk_
Its great to project shit that isn’t gonna be out for months, surely we know what its gonna sell
Dry_Ass_P-word
This is the annoying part of waiting for the announcement.
DaveByTheRiver
I’m protecting 1 billion sold by June.
gusborwig
5 minutes after the preorder is announced ill be at a Gamestop. Been saving for the last 6 months.
Ill be ditching work and my family.
These projections seem accurate.
Bossman1086
If the leaks are true and it’s launching with Mario Kart 9, I could see this.
Inevitable-East-1386
Well my household will get two, that’s for sure.
Motor-Cartographer65
Will the 1st gen games be compatible with this ?
bwoah07_gp2
The console isn’t even out yet and they are out here making projections. 🤦♂️
DarkflowNZ
Just wish there were more games I was interested in. I was this close to getting a switch but decided not to as there were like 2 or 3 games I’d play and they weren’t enough to get me to buy a console
novasolid64
I have $100,000 in this stock. Make me Rich boys.
raphaelmarciano
Really hope they don’t pump out remakes and remasters like Sony does atm.
HallowedHumanist
Nintendo is the master of having their own lane
Metroidman
Please produce enough
Legitimately_Strange
Paying for Rockville, Warped Tour, When We Were Young, and now this. Someone take my wallet away before I sell that to help pay for all of this
SpartanCTC
As long as they don’t get any ideas and name it anything but “Switch 2”.
jman7784
This is a bullshit post…. Of course it will sell well, possibly better than this article says. But as of now we don’t have a release date, a price, a reveal!! And finally we don’t know about any games!
Damuhfudon
Bundled with Mario Kart 8!
HyruleanKnight37
Sees wccftech
Leaves.
Fun-Promotion5153
I’ll be buying one. Consumerism is happiness.
Molduking
Ok
yeah_youbet
Where do these “projections” come from?
all2neat
Bring back Starfox you cowards.
Aidsfordayz
I’d pre order right now if I could.
CrazedRaven01
Microsoft has given up on exclusivity. Sony lost 200 million from Concord.
Nintendo is like Luigi in Mario Party. Winning by just doing its own thing
Melphor
I predict it will sell 11 billion units. Somebody write an article about me.
Hardyyz
Ill just finish my backlog on Switch 1 first and play it until it literally breaks. Not in a rush for Switch 2
AudioGoober88
Reminder that analyst projections on microeconomics of any kind — even by top firms — are worthless and have an awful track record.
47 Comments
I honestly fear we will have another WiiU situation on our hands. The switch sold so well, and if the new switch isn’t a big enough upgrade, people won’t buy it since they already have a switch.
nah pokemon will clutch this one. just dont launch any new games on the switch too and theres an immediate reason to upgrade
If the leaks are true, I worry it’s not enough of an upgrade to warrant a purchase from most people. Sure, hardcore players will buy it, but most people aren’t hardcore gamers.
My assumption is their forecasters know little about the global economy and are in constant ‘extend and pretend’ mode.
Well, I’m getting one.
If they push it with pokemon and Metroid 4 I think they’ll easily hit those numbers. Especially since they took an extra year to work on Pokemon
I wouldn’t be surprised if it does sony are releasing games slowly and they haven’t been super good either for Xbox well I don’t even need to explain that
Let them announce the damn thing first
Launch with a new 3D Mario possibly? Odyssey will be 8 years old at that point
So, it’s 100% will be released next year?
That’s a lot of faith in the new Pokémon, but also Pokémon has never needed a lot of faith from it’s user base judging on the state of a lot of it’s switch titles.
I’ve always been curious: can anyone in finance or gaming industries explain how they make projections like units the company would sell?
**New Zelda game reusing the old BotW map for a third time should do the trick.** 👏
Regardless if this is true or not it’s going to be a very big year for Nintendo in 2025, Should be exciting
I’m hopeful for the Switch Successor and confident that Nintendo has learnt the right lessons, but 80 million units by 2028 seems _very_ optimistic.
Assuming 2028 is it’s 4th year on market, that would put it exactly on pace with the Switch in terms of 4th year cumulative sales, but Nintendo’s sequel consoles have _never_ sold as well as the originals (see: The SNES, GBA, 3DS, _Wii U_), and the Switch had an unexpected surge in 2020 _for some reason_.
I don’t necessarily think that the Switch was lightning in a bottle, but it’s going to be very difficult to create those circumstances again.
> My OnlyFans is projected to sell between 1 and 3 million subscriptions next year
This is easy.
Honestly it’s going to really boil down to the games that are released with it. And the quality of the upgrades that it comes with.
Just give me Mario kart 9 and I’m in.
Switch still sells pretty well. Nintendo doesn’t need to change a whole lot for S2. The main complaints are JoyCon drift, which they might have fixed if the rumours about Hall Effect sticks, ergonomics which looks like they’ve improved that a little and a bit more compute power so things don’t feel so sluggish, which is definitely happening. Throw in the Nintendo First Party titles, S2 will sell very well. Not as well as S1, but that will be near impossible to beat in todays climate
Every Pokemon game to release on the Switch has cleared 10 million, even the more controversial BDSP. So 15-17 million is a pretty reasonable estimate.
Its great to project shit that isn’t gonna be out for months, surely we know what its gonna sell
This is the annoying part of waiting for the announcement.
I’m protecting 1 billion sold by June.
5 minutes after the preorder is announced ill be at a Gamestop. Been saving for the last 6 months.
Ill be ditching work and my family.
These projections seem accurate.
If the leaks are true and it’s launching with Mario Kart 9, I could see this.
Well my household will get two, that’s for sure.
Will the 1st gen games be compatible with this ?
The console isn’t even out yet and they are out here making projections. 🤦♂️
Just wish there were more games I was interested in. I was this close to getting a switch but decided not to as there were like 2 or 3 games I’d play and they weren’t enough to get me to buy a console
I have $100,000 in this stock. Make me Rich boys.
Really hope they don’t pump out remakes and remasters like Sony does atm.
Nintendo is the master of having their own lane
Please produce enough
Paying for Rockville, Warped Tour, When We Were Young, and now this. Someone take my wallet away before I sell that to help pay for all of this
As long as they don’t get any ideas and name it anything but “Switch 2”.
This is a bullshit post…. Of course it will sell well, possibly better than this article says. But as of now we don’t have a release date, a price, a reveal!! And finally we don’t know about any games!
Bundled with Mario Kart 8!
Sees wccftech
Leaves.
I’ll be buying one. Consumerism is happiness.
Ok
Where do these “projections” come from?
Bring back Starfox you cowards.
I’d pre order right now if I could.
Microsoft has given up on exclusivity. Sony lost 200 million from Concord.
Nintendo is like Luigi in Mario Party. Winning by just doing its own thing
I predict it will sell 11 billion units. Somebody write an article about me.
Ill just finish my backlog on Switch 1 first and play it until it literally breaks. Not in a rush for Switch 2
Reminder that analyst projections on microeconomics of any kind — even by top firms — are worthless and have an awful track record.