Pokemon Go

So what are the chances of this? Anyone done the math?



So what are the chances of this? Anyone done the math?

by purebreadbagel

44 Comments

  1. Chance of a hundo from egg is 1/216. Chance of a larvesta is estimated at somewhere 0.5%-1%. So at best 0.0046%

  2. Mattoiles

    I got a 15/14/14 one, Is volcarona even useful?

  3. DustyTurtle2

    50/50 you either get it or you don’t.

  4. Krazykz22

    Idk but that seems extremely lucky. I finally got a shiny thats more then a 0 or 1 star. Just hatched a 3 star SHINY Mawile still probably not the best but. A little Better luck.

  5. BunnyFace0369

    Well, I have a swing to simulate walking, and I’m averaging 300 km a week, it swings while I work, swings while I sleep and I hatch 10+ eggs a day and still have not got one at all. So very rare odds.

  6. John_Dory_

    New player here, what is so special about this? Is it the perfect score?

  7. ClaymoreJFlapdoodle

    Pokemon go players be like Volcarona worthless 0/10 trash pokemon only 20 candies ur dust kid you stink.

  8. VendromLethys

    I haven’t gotten any Larvestas yet lol

  9. PoorLifeChoices811

    Considering I didn’t even know larvesta was in the game I’d say pretty good

  10. Agent_00_crazy

    Of someone living in Ohio next to nothing

  11. Phx_Panda

    Nice I’ve hatched 4 and my best is a 96

  12. cmlambert89

    There’s only one in the whole game and you found it! Congratulations, you get to run Niantic’s Pokémon factory and save your bedridden grandparents

  13. 0.00394%

    Using:

    1/((6*6*6)/(6/705))
    1/(Chances for 100% in egg)/(Chances for hatching Larvesta)

  14. RayneShikama

    My very first Larvesta back in May was a hundo.

    Welcome to the club! (It may just be the two of us…)

  15. My first Larvesta was a hundo, slowly walking up my XLs to get it to lvl 50

  16. some_random_guy_007

    50%. Or it happens or it doesnt.

  17. stormfortress_

    I’m just happy I have one. You struck gold.

  18. zernoc56

    Fuck you chances, basically. Also, fuck you.

  19. foxforcecinco

    Equal in odds to my 10/10/10 Larvesta 😢

  20. Apostastrophe

    If you’re Tom from my local group it’s 100%. As it was the only egg he hatched during that initial release and it was a hundo larvesta.

    Yeah. We all hated him.

  21. I hatched only 1 so far. And that was a 100% as well.

  22. Showtime504

    I saw this post, logged in and immediately caught a Hundo Swablu ✌🏽😉

  23. hstrylvr89

    OMG this post must be my good luck charm cuz I finally hatched one and it’s PERFECT 😍😭

  24. ravenclaw1991

    I still can’t even hatch a Larvesta in general

  25. 1/216 chance for egg/encounter hundo. Not sure what the odds for larvesta are.

  26. Swammer50

    Cool flex bro. Thanks for sharing by asking this question that I’m sure you care about.

  27. Trippy_Josh

    I also have one that hatched around Squirtle day hundo.

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